Highs today will run 18-25.
Increasing clouds this evening, then round of scattered snow showers late evening-tonight in the 7 pm-9 am time frame. 1" or less of accumulation.
Lows will run single digits to teens.
Some minor blowing drifting tomorrow-tomorrow night to Sunday from increasing south-southeast to south, then south-southwest winds gusting to 32 mph followed by system delaying arrival until Sunday afternoon-evening.
With later arrival & time to warm up, note how it begins as mostly rain as the precipitation overspread the area in the 5-7:30 p.m. time frame.
Even with milder temperatures, evaporative cooling process fighting against the warmer air coming in (warm air advection), may still lead to some wet snow mixing in or all wet snow for a time at the onset over the far northern & eastern part of the viewing area. This, even with temperatures around 36-38.
However, it will go to ALL RAIN a bit there after.
Highs Saturday should reach 27-32, followed by 18-25 then rising Saturday night, then 37-44 late Sunday evening-early night.
Rain should end as snow Sunday night as temperatures fall to 32-34 behind cold front.
A wet, gloppy 1" or less is expected for the area, except north of Route 14 where 1-3" is possible.
Strong southwest winds will go west-northwest to northwest with gusts to 35 mph.
Given snow becoming much wetter on top, blowing & drifting snow will tend to be limited despite the strong winds.
Periods of rain are possible Thursday & again next weekend.
Highs will run mostly in the 40s. I did go for one day at around 50.
A rain system should pass every few days Sunday-March 11, leading to eventual rainfall totals (& liquid amounts melted) to 2-4".
0.75-1.50" liquid is wrapped up in the snow, so that just adds to the amount of run-off into creeks & streams.
At least it is gradual. If it were much more abrupt we'd have big flooding issues. However, some flooding is still a concern in early March. Also, ice jams pose an issue over the next week.
Flood risk may increase as we go deeper into March as wet pattern establishes with warmer regime. This risk should continue into April.