February 15, 5:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest....

Posted: Feb 15, 2020 5:09 PM
Updated: Feb 15, 2020 6:00 PM

After bottoming out as low as -9 in the viewing area before 1 a.m. lastnight, temperatures then rose through the night with the south-southeast to south wind.  However, wind chills did drop to as low as -16.

After 1 for a low before 1 a.m. lastnight, we hit 37 at the station today.  The Purdue Airport dropped to 1 then rose to 37, while the Purdue Ag Farm bottomed out at 3 with a high of 37, while the Throckmorton Purdue Farm Site north of Romney tanked at 1 & reached 36 today.  Frankfort Airport went from -6 lastnight to 38 today.

Much of the area was in the teens by this morning.

It has been a breezy to windy, much warmer day with highs 33-39 as of 5:15 p.m. with southwest gusts measured at 20-35 mph.

There have been some areas of blowing & drifting snow, but much of it has been too wet now (with the warmer temperatures & melting) to blow around.  Winds are not consistently high enough for snow rollers, though there is a nice sticky layer on top, which would be a good situation for them.

Other than a few spits of flurries or a couple of sprinkles, it is virga (precipitation drying up on the way down) with an overcast now.

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Some areas of snow, sleet, freezing rain/drizzle & rain/drizzle are possible this evening to tonight with temperatures hovering 32-36.

Any snowfall accumulation would be localized & under 0.5". 

Any ice accumulation would be very light.

However, watch for a slick spot or two, given cold, cold ground & pavement temperatures after below zero readings as late as lastnight.

Mostly cloudy skies should begin to clear late with highs in the 30s with a light west-northwest to northwest wind.  I cut back on the "breezy" wording for Sunday, as winds only look to now run at 5-12 mph.

We should cloud up Sunday night with 20s to around 30, followed by cloudy skies Monday with increasing southeast to south-southeast winds to 20-30 mph.

Showers will develop Monday, increasing to steady rainfall Monday evening-night.

Winds will turn to the southwest Monday night at 15-30 mph with rising temperatures.

Rain may end as brief snow/sleet Tuesday as temperatures fall rapidly from 40s & 50s very early to 20s & 30s with gusty northwest winds to 30 mph.  Window is narrow for mild spell though & it will tend to occur after 12 a.m. & before 7 a.m.

Pretty high PWATs (amount of available water to squeeze out) for mid-February may lead to a period of moderate to heavy rainfall Monday night.

This may lead to some 1" amounts in a pretty short period of time.

Ponding & some creek rises atop frozen, mostly snow-covered ground are possible.

Brief shot of warmer weather races northward in the night in strong warm air advection with the rain & strong southwest winds.

A cold Wednesday will be in store with highs only in the 20s with partly cloudy skies & northwest 10-25 mph.  Lows will run in the teens with wind chills to -5.

Thursday may feature a clipper with some scattered snow showers, but only very minor accumulation possible with highs in the 20s.

Otherwise, February 23-27 shows two systems with rainfall (second one may have the rain end as brief snow).  Highs should surge into the 50s, the cool back to the 20s & 30s.

I think the coldest air of the winter just occurred & we will not see temperatures as low as -13 again.

However, winter cold may last well into March with opportunities for snow & ice.

Some snow is possible around March 2 with highs only in the 30s.

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Clear
45° wxIcon
Hi: 52° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 37°
Kokomo
Clear
44° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 36°
Rensselaer
Clear
41° wxIcon
Hi: 47° Lo: 31°
Feels Like: 31°
Fowler
Clear
41° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 31°
Williamsport
Clear
44° wxIcon
Hi: 51° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 35°
Crawfordsville
Clear
42° wxIcon
Hi: 51° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 33°
Frankfort
Clear
45° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 37°
Delphi
Clear
43° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 33°
Monticello
Clear
43° wxIcon
Hi: 48° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 33°
Logansport
Clear
43° wxIcon
Hi: 48° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 36°
A much cooler day with strong winds and some late-day showers.
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