Happy Valentine's Day everyone!
With more sun than expected this afternoon, the predicted highs of 42-48 were surpassed by actual highs of 45-51. Extra sun helped to tack on an extra 3 degrees!
I am surprised, especially given more sun, that we have not had higher winds mix down today. I forecasted gusts 30-40 mph at times this afternoon. The highest gusts so far have run 24-33 mph.
It is not a huge difference in temperature & wind, but I am very picky with weather & I always go through it with a fine-toothed comb!
The strong cold front is currently lined up from near Chicago to Peoria to northwest of St. Louis. Note the strong winds behind the front! It is also MUCH colder behind the front!
It is a strong surface low & cold front, but there is just little moisture to bring much in the way of rainfall. A few spotty showers are possible along the front in our eastern counties & just behind it this evening-early tonight as it passes in the 7-10 p.m. time frame.
Most of the showers are expected to pop east & southeast of our area where a bit deeper moisture will reside. A few flurries may follow.
Note the wall of wind with & behind the front from the west-northwest, then northwest. Gusts later this evening & into tonight of 30-40 mph are likely with a couple isolated gusts to 45 mph possible. Sustaineds winds of 15-25 mph are likely.
Winds tomorrow morning will still be brisk with gusts 28-35 mph & sustained winds at 14-22 mph. Wind chills will drop to near 0 with actual air temperatures in the upper teens to around 20.
Accumulating snow will occur south of us Saturday with our highs near 31. Note snow approaching us, however, by Sunday 1 a.m.
Snow is likely Sunday with a 10-hour event expected (Sunday 6 a.m.-Monday 4 a.m.). 2-5" (lowest southeast half, more northwest) with gusty winds is possible. Highest amounts currently look to be in northwestern half of the viewing area. 6-9" may fall in eastern Iowa & northern Illinois. We will monitor to make sure that band does set more to the southeast over our area.
Snow & ice is possible Tuesday night to Wednesday.
Additional snow & ice is possible Friday & then again Saturday morning.