Forecasted 36-43 for today & ended up with 34-41. Lows of 26-31 are likely tonight with some patchy fog possible.
Clouds will be a persistent issue Tuesday to part of Wednesday. I am hopeful of holes in the overcast, but looking at the new skew-T as of 11 p.m. I am not overly optimistic.
Thursday afternoon looks the brightest of the week with warm weather Wednesday-early Saturday morning.
Rain still looks likely Friday night to part of Saturday with 0.75-1.25" possible.
A few snow showers are possible Saturday night to Sunday morning.
Some severe weather is possible in the South with this system with band of accumulating snowfall & strong winds from Kansas to northern Wisconsin.
It looks windy Friday-Sunday.
Storm with strong winds & rain will follow the first Wednesday night-Thursday-Thursday night of next week.
1-2" rainfall is possible with severe weather outbreak possible in the South & even potentially an isolated severe storm in our far southeastern counties here with highs 50s to 60 if current track continues.
Winter storm with heavy snow & strong winds is possible from Kansas to northwestern Illinois & central Michigan.
Christmas period still looks wet, warm & windy after very narrow window for brief snow around December 20-21.
Another round of weather weather with rain is possible around December 26-27.
The first 11 days of January average warmer than normal here, cold & snowy West.
We look wetter than normal with above normal precipitation from the Midwest & Lower Ohio Valley to southeastern Ontario the end of December through the first 11 days of January.
It appears that a shot of cold & snow may come in about January 12-13. Looks like the coldest temperatures so far this winter & the first good snow.
Thoughts are still that January may end up with the normal 6-12" of snowfall for the viewing area. There continues to be a trend toward higher risk of icing event or ice storm in February. There will also be elevated risk of some flooding & severe weather in February.
Every month January-April looks wetter than normal, but drought & heat still looks to be a substantial issue Summer 2021.
Drying & hotter trend may get going by late May after potentially violent spring of severe weather with increased flood risk in March & April.
It also looks like an early spring with above normal temperatures overall March & April & then right into May.
Analog suggests one narrow planting window in April, then wide planting windows by late May overall for the viewing area.
At this point, early indications are of a warmer than normal September with normal rainfall, followed by a cooler & wetter than normal October 2021.
So Summer 2021 rainfall anomalies:
Heat & drought will be an issue with frequent bouts of significant upper ridging from Ontario to our area & Texas to Minnesota.
We are likely to see our first 100-degree temperatures in 9 years.
Also, we have a higher than normal risk of a "Ring of Fire" Serial Derecho.