December 16, 5 PM Weather Forecast Update

Latest update on snowfall & pattern down the road.

Posted: Dec 16, 2019 4:45 PM
Updated: Dec 16, 2019 5:49 PM

Snowfall totals of 1-5.1" were measured Sunday evening to very early this morning.

Snowing in the south...........moving east-northeastward.

South/southeast will get the snow this late afternoon-evening.

Snow to the southwest will move into the rest of the area overnight & exit by 7 a.m. Tuesday.

1-3" possible for south half with the highest totals in that range in the deep south of the area. 

1" or less possible north with the lowest amounts (trace) in the far north.

Looks like around 1" for Greater Lafayette.  It will be more south of Lafayette.

Tomorrow will feature melting as skies clear after near 24 tonight.  However, winds will gust 25-35 mph from the north at times tonight, resulting in some blowing & drifting on open east-west roads.

Cold front should pass late tomorrow night-very early Wednesday morning with a period of snow flurries/snow showers, especially in the east half.  Local dustings are possible with wind cranking up to 30 mph from west to northwest with passage of front.

Single-digit to 10 wind chills are possible Wednesday morning.

Clearing trend will follow, but it will be a cold, windy day with west to west-northwest winds 15-33 mph.  With winds diminishing, single digit to 0 lows are possible Wednesday night with frosty conditions amidst a mostly clear sky.

Thursday looks bright & warmer with southwest wind & nice melting trend.  As moisture re-freezes Thursday night, some slick spots are possible.

There has been talk of a storm system at the end of next week that may bring mix &/or snow to the area with Polar & Subtropical jet phasing taking shape over the Texas Panhandle.  A storm would develop there & move northeastward.

The phasing is more southeast of us for late next week-next weekend with wet weather in the Southeast & potential wintry weather in the Appalachians to Mid-Atlantic to Northeast.  Also, there is phasing in California to Oregon with rain & snow.

In-between, the split flow develops.  This is farther eastward than shown last week.

IF phasing regime can move farther westward then this will revert back more to former forecasts.

So, we look mild & dry until a clipper's cold front brings spotty showers in Sunday PM & a few snow showers/flurries Monday AM.

Next significant storm system is near or just after Christmas with rain & then potentially some snow/mix.

Looks like significant precipitation producer with potential of 1-1.50" of liquid with strong winds.  Right now, looks like 80% of it rain & 20% of it snow/mix. 

After a couple mild bursts, much colder pattern should arrive at the very end of the year to early January 2020.

We will monitor.

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Some more needed rainfall with real taste of Fall weather...
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