The first 12 days of January average warmer than normal.
Around the Christmas period & onward & the first 12 days of January continues to look wetter than normal.
Winter overall looks like this still.
Colder temperatures will tend to occur in the Northwest, Northern Plains.
Warmer temperatures will tend to occur over the eastern to southeastern half of the U.S.
There is still a higher than normal risk of an icing event or ice storm in our area per analog data.
Above normal snowfall will occur in the Northwest, Northern Rockies, Northern Plains & western Great Lakes.
The Midwest & Ohio Valley to Tennessee & Mid-Mississippi Valley look wetter than normal.
Deep South, Florida, Southwest & southern High Plains look to have below normal precipitation with developing drought to worsening drought.
Persistent -PNA, +NAO, +AO, traditional La Nina peaking at strong level & persistent heavy convection in the Phase 3, 4 & 5 zones of the MJO all continue to point to this outlook.
Winter continues to trend warmer & wetter than normal with a bit below normal snowfall. However, January snowfall could end up pretty close to normal.
There is a higher risk of severe weather this winter & the risk of flooding will go up mid to late winter & then into spring.
Looks like a wetter, warmer & stormier than normal spring with the most active severe weather spring since 2011.
Like 2010, there may be two MAIN planting windows: April then another late May or early June. Much of the crop got out in April. This year's window may not be as long as 2010, but still may be the silver lining perhaps in an overall wet spring.
Summer looks hotter than normal & drier than normal.