SEVERE WX : Flood Warning View Alerts

December 19, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update & Long Ranger

Here is the latest low-down now to Summer.

Posted: Dec 18, 2020 9:17 PM
Updated: Dec 18, 2020 10:48 PM

Highs today reached 32-42 over the viewing area.

Tonight, temperatures will level off & may even rise a bit late.  They will be in the 30s with a strong south wind at 15-32 mph.

It will be windy Saturday from the south with gusts +30 mph & gusts +20 mph Sunday.  This is will make it feel colder than what it actually is all weekend.

37-45 is likely Saturday & the same Sunday.

Some periodic spotty showers are likely Saturday before changing to scattered snow Sunday morning before ending.

Looks like some in the morning (even bits of sleet mixed due to dry air & some drops freezing in the evaporative cooling processes) despite upper 30s to 40.  Then some more late in the day & into the night with some dry time in-between with just cloudy skies & windy conditions.

Peak coverage should reach 40%.

Rainfall totals of 0.01-0.11" are expected.

Monday looks windy with clouds & a few showers with southwest wind to 35 mph changing to the northwest late.  Rainfall of trace-0.10" is currently expected.

Strong winds & showers are likely Wednesday with rapid warm-up.  It may end as snow showers as temperatures fall quickly.

Winds may gust to 40 mph Wednesday-Wednesday night.

Total rainfall of 0.30-0.60" is possible.

Note the above normal temperatures Wednesday then the below normal temperatures Thursday.

They should be back to slightly below to near normal on Christmas.

Hopefully we can get a dusting or coating Wednesday night before Christmas Eve!

After that brief cool snap, strong southwest winds to 40 mph & much warmer weather should occur after Christmas.

Some rain is possible around December 27-28.

The risk of getting snow with colder weather will go way up as we get to the start of January.

Early January features some opportunities for snow & snow/ice.

The pattern supports it with systems developing in Texas & Oklahoma moving northeastward with colder air bleeding in here.

Latter half of January looks warmer than normal (also wetter than normal) with elevated risk of a severe weather episode for part of the area.

I am still trending normal for January snowfall which is 6-12" for the viewing area as a whole from southwest to northeast.

Early half of January temperatures look slightly below normal.

Latter half of January temperature anomalies (above normal):

February-March look warmer to much warmer than normal overall.

Still looks like early start to spring & the growing season.

There is still an elevated risk of ice event in February.  Snowfall looks below normal.  It also looks below normal in March.

February-March also look wetter to much wetter than normal with higher risk of severe weather (including tornadoes).

There is elevated risk of flooding.

Spring 2021 (March-April-May) overall looks warmer than normal with an earlier-than-normal start to summer heat.

Overall, spring looks wetter than normal with higher risk of severe weather (including tornadoes) & flooding.  March & April look wetter than May right now.

Upper ridging still tends to dominate Summer 2021 with above normal temperatures here with still higher potential of our first 100 since 2012.

Midwest, Corn Belt to Plains & South & even part of the Northeast look drier than normal.  Widespread drought is possible.

Note the above normal rainfall on the periphery of upper ridge from Rockies to Great Lakes.  That belt looks to have frequent bouts of severe weather & heavy rainfall.

There is a higher than normal risk of a Serial Derecho in this Ring of Fire that rakes our area amidst the heat.

September is also drier than normal with continued drought.

However, another very active hurricane season looks to bring very wet weather to the Southeast to as far north as southwestern Indiana.

Tropical remnants could mediate drought in our area in the latter half of Summer.  We will continue to monitor & will see.

Lafayette
Cloudy
48° wxIcon
Hi: 55° Lo: 39°
Feels Like: 45°
Kokomo
Cloudy
41° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 35°
Rensselaer
Partly Cloudy
41° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 36°
Lafayette
Cloudy
48° wxIcon
Hi: 53° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 45°
Danville
Cloudy
44° wxIcon
Hi: 54° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 41°
Frankfort
Cloudy
43° wxIcon
Hi: 55° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 37°
Frankfort
Cloudy
43° wxIcon
Hi: 53° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 37°
Monticello
Cloudy
41° wxIcon
Hi: 53° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 38°
Monticello
Mostly Cloudy
41° wxIcon
Hi: 53° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 38°
Logansport
Cloudy
39° wxIcon
Hi: 48° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 35°
Warmest weather since December is ahead with good timing with the weekend rainfall...
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