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August 28, 1:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest on the oppressive heat, the Slight Risk for severe weather, the weekend cool-down & the potential of off/on showers/storms next week.

Posted: Aug 28, 2020 12:42 PM
Updated: Aug 28, 2020 2:16 PM

Lows this morning only dropped to 70-76 & 1 p.m. temperatures are 85-91 with dew points 73-79.

SLIGHT RISK of severe weather is up north of Indiana 18 with MARGINAL RISK elsewhere today-tonight.

Main threat would be a few severe gusts with secondary less risk of isolated brief tornado &/or isolated hailer.

Locally-heavy rainfall is possible.

This will occur with the intense heating & the slightly stronger mid-level flow currently just north of our area sinking a hair southward into part of our area.  This will allow for more modest storm organization in an environment of up to 3000 J/kg of ML CAPE.

Numerous scattered storms are likely today.

Multi-cells & multi-cell clusters will dominate with an isolated supercell possible & perhaps a line gelling together.

Peak coverage today should reach 80%.

Broken line of storms will pass through tonight, mainly after 12 a.m.  Coverage chould peak at 60%.

The weekend is fine with lowering humidity & partly cloudy skies.  Highs of 78-85 are likely with lows in the 50s.

Saturday will be a breezy day with north-northwest winds 14-25 mph.

Multiple waves of showers & storms are possible next week as warm front moves northward & straddles our region, while a surface low rides the front.

Some are possible Monday evening-night with more widespread rainfall possible later Tuesday, Tuesday night & Wednesday.  Some are possible Thursday as a cold front passes through.

The severe weather risk corridor Sunday-Tuesday will tend to be southwest & south of our area (from Kansas, Oklahoma, Arkansas & southern Missouri to far southern Indiana & Kentucky (up to SLIGHT parameters with best change of an ENHANCED being southeastern Kansas to northern Arkansas to northeastern Oklahoma).

However, it still appears that some risk will move northward by perhaps Wednesday.  A swath of risk may line up from Ohio to Indiana to Tennessee & Arkansas (MARGINAL to SLIGHT parameters).

Shot of cooler air should follow before a heat-up with storms & some severe risk in the September 5-8 time frame.

Then, get ready for some real fall weather in mid September with temperatures below normal.  Widespread lows in the 40s are likely!

West Lafayette
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Hi: 47° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 41°
Kokomo
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Hi: 45° Lo: 35°
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Rensselaer
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Hi: 41° Lo: 30°
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Fowler
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Hi: 41° Lo: 32°
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Williamsport
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Hi: 45° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 37°
Crawfordsville
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Hi: 46° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 42°
Frankfort
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Hi: 46° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 42°
Delphi
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Hi: 45° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 41°
Monticello
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Hi: 45° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 41°
Logansport
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Hi: 44° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 41°
Cool, wet evening....rain ending, but fog redeveloping.....
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