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August 24, 1 PM Weather Forecast Update

Warm front will be around & act as a trigger for some storms after any showers weaken & depart today.

Posted: Aug 24, 2018 12:48 PM
Updated: Aug 24, 2018 4:19 PM

We have had showers in our western areas, but they aren't making a lot of progress eastward. The heaviest rainfall has been west & south of the area.  These showers will slowly march eastward, but weaken to nothing more than a few isolated showers & sprinkles this afternoon.

We will get some sun out, too, mixed with clouds.  We will call it a partly to mostly cloudy day with highs in the 70s & a nice south to southeast breeze at 10-15 mph.

Totals in our western areas have run 0.10" or less with not a drop along & east of U.S. 231.

The models obviously have them a bit more widespread & heavier, but I would prefer to drop rainfall coverage to 20% for afternoon after being at 30-35% up to midday.

For the Frenzy tonight, just looks like perhaps a few isolated sprinkles.

New showers/storms should affect us later tonight-Saturday morning.

After some morning showers/storms Saturday, some scattered storms may pop in the evening, followed by a break, then a few storms Sunday afternoon (while a lot of severe weather occurs northwest of our area).

Main severe weather corridor will be away from our area.  Only an isolated severe storm is possible Saturday evening-Monday.

It looks very warm to hot & humid to very humid, breezy with highs in the 80s Saturday, but near 90 to as high as 94 Sunday-Monday.  Lows will run in the 70s.

Tuesday looks dry & breezy, but hazy, hot & humid.  Highs will run near 90 to as high as 94 with breezy conditions.

A line of storms is possible Tuesday night as the front slides a bit to the south (in response to upper trough swinging through Michigan to Ontario & Quebec). 

A few isolated severe storms are possible.  There would be more if the line was not displaced quite so far south & southwest of the best wind fields at mid & upper levels. 

The front should actually sink south of our area Wednesday, so I trimmed the high back a bit & dropped the humidity a bit.  It won't be big relief, but some.

The front should move back northward with time, bringing some rounds of storms late next week with humid to very humid conditions.  Some severe weather risk could develop as we are progged to get skimmed by some stronger mid & upper flow aloft.

Front should move back north of the area by some point next weekend.  This will bring a return to around 90 to the 90s, dry & breezy, hot, hazy, humid conditions.

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