With lots of clouds, a nice breeze & temperatures 68-73 this evening, a few isolated showers/sprinkles are possible.
This will give way to a round of showers & storms later tonight to Saturday morning. Severe risk is is very low. The storms will be elevated north of the warm front, so the main threats are lightning & localized heavy +1" rainfall.
Following this, with a partly to mostly cloudy sky, it will turn humid to eventually very humid with highs in the 81-86 range Saturday. South to southwest winds will increase to 15-28 mph with dew points rising to the muggy to oppressive 73-77 range by evening.
After a long break, notice how some scattered storms fire in the evening to the night-time hours. An isolated severe storm or two cannot be ruled out from these.
There is a MARGINAL RISK of severe weather for part of the area, but I would consider this for all of us.
Here is the NOAA Storm Prediction Center outlook:
Sunday looks hot & very humid with heat indices near 100 to perhaps as high as +105 in a few locations. It will be rather breezy, which will help some, but this is still the kind of heat we have not experienced in a while.
Skies look partly cloudy with highs near 90 to as high as 94.
A few scattered storms may pop in the afternoon-evening.
Meanwhile, severe weather with multiple bows & clusters of storms will blow up from Minnesota & Iowa, through Wisconsin, northern Illinois, far northern Indiana to southwest Michigan. On thing we will need to watch Sunday evening-night is whether the tail ends of any of these severe storms affect our north. This would be outside of any random storms that fire prior.
Either way, an isolated severe storm or two is possible Sunday afternoon-evening & then if some storms can sneak in Sunday night. SPC has MARGINAL RISK for the north for Sunday, but this could really be extended for everyone.
If the severe storms farther to the north would happen to make quite a bit more progress southward than currently expected, then the SLIGHT RISK would be shifted southward.
Monday-Tuesday looks breezy & hot with highs near 90 to the 90s with heat indices a touch lower at upper 90s to around 100.
A couple storms may pop Monday, but Tuesday looks dry until evening-night when a line of storms could pass.
At this point, it appears that the warm front may work south as a cold front Tuesday night & bring drier weather Wednesday. It should also cool & bit into the 80s with slightly lower humidity.
Looks like some more rounds of storms could affect us either Thursday evening or night & even Friday. We will see in regards to exact timing down the road.
It will definitely turn hotter & more humid again after a bit of relief Wednesday.
The Labor Day weekend outlook features storms perhaps part of Saturday, but then dry, breezy, hot & humid to very humid weather Sunday, September 2 to Monday, September 3. Temperatures will return to around 90 to the 90s with heat indices around to exceeding 100.