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August 19, 5 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is your latest update regarding more heat & increasingly active tropics.

Posted: Aug 19, 2020 3:49 PM
Updated: Aug 19, 2020 4:23 PM

After highs yesterday at 75-83.......

Lows this morning dropped to 48-55.  Normal low is 60-64.

The Frankfort themometer is on the fritz, but hopefully that will be repaired soon!  Wind, visibility, sky & barometeric pressure sensors are all still up & running, however.

Obviously the wind chill is not -11 to -12 & hopefully we will not see any thing like that for another 5 months!

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The weather looks good through Saturday, just getting warmer with wind shift to the east, then southeast, then south to southwest.  The days will be warm to very warm, but the nights crisp & cool!

The humidity will rise & become uncomfortable by Saturday evening.

Cold front should skim by Sunday with a broken line or band of storms in the evening-night.

Parameters are just within Marginal Risk at the moment, but key word is "isolated" severe.  Most of them will be garden-variety showers/storms as any wind support aloft will be well northwest & north of the area.  These look to be pulsey storms with up to 45% coverage.

Next week looks dry until Thursday evening-night.

It will also turn hot & humid with 94 by Thursday with storms showing MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK parameters.

Moisture feeding these storms with heavy rainfall & severe weather Tuesday-Wednesday of next week from the Dakotas, Nebraska, Iowa & Wisconsin to New England will be remnants of Hurricane Genevieve.  This hurricane will turn toward central California coast & then weaken rapidly over the cool water, but produce numerous showers & storms California to Nebraska.  The lightning from the storms striking away from the rainfall will promote for wildfires in California & Nevada.

We will monitor tropical system that may be in the Gulf of Mexico at the end of next week.  Current thoughts are that it will veer east & northeast away from our area as cold front & upper trough skim by it to pull it away.  This could change, however, as confidence is not high (so far out) on track. 

The other tropical system shows a tendency to miss the U.S., but we will monitor.  That could change.  Overall, the tropics will really ramp up over the coming weeks.

Outlook August 17-September 14:

8/27 Thu. 94/65 Partly Cloudy....Late Storms Possible (50%) Marginal to Slight Risk Parameters

8/28 Fri. 86/63 Partly Cloudy

8/29 Sat. 92/68 Partly Cloudy....Storms Possible at Night (45%) Marginal to Slight Risk Parameters

8/30 Sun. 87/61 Mostly Cloudy....Scattered Showers/Storms Possible (45%)

8/31 Mon. 82/55 Mostly Sunny

9/1 Tue. 82/56 Mostly Sunny

9/2 Wed. 85/62 Partly Cloudy

9/3 Thu. 90/70 Partly Cloudy Then 20%

9/4 Fri. 88/61 Mostly Sunny

9/5 Sat. 90/62 Mostly Sunny

9/6 Sun. 92/62 Mostly Sunny

9/7 Mon. 94/63 Mostly Sunny

9/8 Tue. 95/65 Mostly Sunny

9/9 Wed. 91/59 Mostly Sunny Then 20%

9/10 Thu. 80/53 Mostly Sunny

9/11 Fri. 76/47 Mostly Sunny

9/12 Sat. 74/46 Mostly Sunny

9/13 Sun. 77/48 Mostly Sunny

9/14 Mon. 79/58 Partly Cloudy

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Cool, wet evening....rain ending, but fog redeveloping.....
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