Abnormal Dryness continues to expand over the Corn Belt, even with recent storms.
Moderate Drought is now being painted in parts of the area.
Drought frequency & intensity has been decreasing since 2012 in Indiana, though:
Drought frequency & intensity has been decreasing overall since 1895.
Highs today ran 77-88. However I think the 88 may either be in error, or over extra dry soils there.
The warmest temperatures tended to occur over the driest soils anyway with cooler temperatures where soils are more moist with more lush vegetation (from recent rainfall).
Our 83 here at the station was over our bone-dry soils here with less than 1.50" of rainfall total since June 20!
After some patchy fog initially, it will turn mostly cloudy later tonight to Friday morning.
Friday morning to early afternoon, some showers & storms are possible. This will tend to occur with MCV from complex of severe storms in Kansas & Missouri tonight.
Dry time with some clearing will follow with muggy conditions & 78-85 with south-southwest winds.
A few new scattered storms are possible Friday evening to night.
More widespread rain & storms are likely later Friday night to Saturday morning with lows 66-70.
An isolated severe storm is possible.
Those rains pull away, followed by sun appearing & heat & humidity.
Some new scattered storms may pop Saturday late afternoon evening with 85-90 & heat indices 93-100. Winds will run south-southwest at 15-23 mph.
I am thinking that remnants MCV migrating our of Missouri could be a trigger here.
The pattern will be dominated by off & on storms with intense heat & humidity & muggy nights for the next two weeks.
Complexes of storms or MCSs, remnants of MCSs, old MCVs from MCSs (with outflow boundaries) will promote storm risk nearly daily, but there will be many dry hours in-between.
Isolated severe risk will occur at times. Localized SLIGHT RISK may occur here, but the main westerlies for widespread severe will reside well northwest of our area.
We will be located near the periphery of the hot upper ridge, which will put is in a track of frequent convection, storm occurrence.
Welcome soaking rainfall is likely in this pattern.
BIG CHANGE will occur after the persistent heat & mugginess for two weeks as much cooler air arrives as we move into the Labor Day weekend.