Highs today ran 79-84.
Lows tonight should drop to 56-63. With partly cloudy skies, some patchy fog is possible, followed by partly cloudy skies & highs of 82-86 Wednesday. Dew points will run 62-66, so it won't feel refreshing, but it won't feel terrible. There will be a hint of mugginess in the air & you'll still sweat with those 80s.
Partly cloudy skies & some patchy fog with 58-63 tomorrow night should give way to partly cloudy skies & highs 82-86 Thursday. The humidity will drop a bit more Thursday with 58-65 dew points.
Both days will feature east-northeast to east winds at 8-15 mph.
Thursday night to Friday looks partly cloudy with lows of 58-64 & highs of 85-90 as the wind turns to the southeast, then south. Warm front will be lifting northward & dew points will be on the increase. This will make it feel increasingly humid later Friday.
Heat indices will rise to 86-94.
A couple/few isolated storms are possible Friday late afternoon-evening (25%).
Friday night will be warmer & humid with lows 67-71.
BELOW IMAGE...............Note "Ridge Rider" bow of severe storms racing from North & South Dakota through Minnesota to Wisconsin & Iowa Friday night to early Saturday morning.
We need to watch & see what that line does here for Saturday.
The best wind fields will be northwest of our area for severe weather, but we will heat up & the MCV & outflow boundary may be triggers for new storms (even as the bow weakens.......outrunning the strong nocturnal low-level jet & better, deeper CAPE or instability......a.k.a buoyancy).
So, I have 45% coverage of storms for Saturday still with thoughts of triggers available & highs 87-92 with dew points surging to the 70s (heat indices 95-102).
MARGINAL RISK parameters show up (isolated severe) for Saturday.
One caveat it that the cap may also get too far northeastward & put the kabosh on too much storm action as well. It will be present nearby & could easily overtake our area. This would result in a dramatic drop in the 50% storm coverage.
We will monitor.
Saturday night looks warm & humid with lows 70-75 with a lot of severe weather from the Dakotas & Minnesota to Nebraska as SLIGHT to ENHANCED parameters show up.
Here, looks like Sunday afternoon-evening may feature storms flaring from MCVs of these storms.
MARGINAL to SLIGHT parameters show up here.
I put 60% coverage for storms in for Sunday, mainly evening-night with highs 87-92 & heat indices 97-105.
The main upper trough & cold front pivot & slide through Monday morning, but by that time the good instability will be gone, so 30% coverage of showers/storms seems reasonable.
We should dry out after 2 p.m. with northwest winds & highs 77-84. The humidity will drop from north to south through the afternoon & evening. 54-59 lows are likely Monday night.
Late next week, the cooler pattern will do a 180. Hot, humid weather with 90s & heat indices +100 will overspread the area. Above normal temperatures will dominate late August & into early September.
We will keep an eye on "Ridge Riders" or complexes of storms on the periphery of the hot upper ridge & watch the tropics for any tropical system that can happen to get into our area by riding underbelly of upper ridge from the Caribbean & Gulf to the Plains & Midwest.