It was a big severe weather outbreak from Iowa & Wisconsin to North Carolina yesterday to lastnight.
There were 419 reports of wind & hail. I would bet that amidst all of the wind damage that there are a couple or a few brief tornadoes in northeast Ohio to Pennsylvania & southern Lower Michigan.
Here, storm coverage was limited to 30-35% by lingering capping.
There were really only three t'storms in the area. One tracking from Wheatfield to near Denver, another near Flora to Kokomo & Grissom ARB & from north of Covington to near Crawfordsville.
No severe weather was reported.
Today, SLIGHT RISK has been shifted northward & a large area of ENHANCED RISK has been drawn by SPC.
This makes sense as severe risk continues to increase over a large area. It will be yet another day with a severe weather outbreak with a lot of large to very large hail, wind & even a few tornadoes. Like yesterday, I think hail & wind will dominate over tornado risk. However, some wind gusts of +80 mph are likely.
I still think tornado risk is maximized over northeastern Arkansas to southeastern Missouri to western Tennessee & northern Mississippi (to even far southwestern Kentucky). It wouldn't surprise me if there is an isolated strong tornado or two there. This would be the area that would have any potential of upgrade to MODERATE RISK it appears.
The tornado risk there should ramp up especially after 8 p.m.
For us, SLIGHT RISK is up along & south of a Kentland to Delphi to Russiaville line.
ENHANCED RISK is up from north of Covington to Attica to near Crawfordsville & southward.
MARGINAL RISK is up in our north.
Time frame for severe weather risk & t'storms in general is 6-10 p.m. with main threat being wind & hail. Highs today of 76-81 are likely.
A period of +35 mph gusts are possible tonight, but the main time frame for some 40-50 mph gusts is tomorrow midday-afternoon. A couple isolated +50 mph gusts cannot be ruled out.
After lots of sunshine tomorrow morning, clouds should roll in with falling temperatures & a few spotty rain/snow showers late in the day.
After lows tonight of 36-42, we may warm to 45-50 in the morning to midday, then fall to 39-46.