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April 4, 4 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest update on the steady rain approaching.

Posted: Apr 4, 2019 3:27 PM
Updated: Apr 4, 2019 4:05 PM

We have had a few showers today with these strong east to southeast winds sustained at 15-25 mph with gusts 30-40 mph.

Between any spotty showers, there has been dim sunshine.

Temperatures are running 50-61 over the area right now with Covington the warmest at 61.

Steady rain is approaching & will move in this evening with temperatures dropping to 48-54 area-wide.  It will continue to be windy with east-southeast to southeast winds 15-25 mph with gusts 30-40 mph through the evening.

The heavy rainfall south of our area is intercepting the deeper moisture transport northward from the Gulf of Mexico. 

So, I trimmed rainfall totals from 0.50-1" (since lastnight to Friday morning) to 0.10-0.50".

After some showers Friday morning, Friday looks a bit gray, but it will be warmer with less wind.  Highs will run 58-65.

After 40s Friday night with some clearing, partly cloudy skies & southeast to south winds 10-20 mph will dominate Saturday with highs near 70 to the lower 70s.

Showers & t'storms will increase Sunday, mainly in the p.m. with windy conditions & highs near 70 to the mid 70s.

It would not surprise me if part of our area ends up in a MARGINAL RISK of severe weather, but higher probabilities are shaping up south of our area.

After dry weather, showers & t'storms return for Thursday.  I have as asterisk by the high temperature because it is unclear how far north warm front will get.  This will ultimately determine how warm we get & if & how much severe weather risk we get into.

It could be a situation where it is 71 with severe risk in the southern part of the area & it is rain & 55 in the north.  It is tricky.  We will monitor.

As we approach & get into mid-April a cold snap with frost & freezing is likely, followed by much warmer weather & the risk of some severe weather.

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