SEVERE WX : Flood Warning View Alerts

April 4, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

The new data is in.....let's look from now to late summer!

Posted: Apr 3, 2020 10:18 PM
Updated: Apr 3, 2020 11:15 PM

Mostly cloudy skies & a couple of spotty sprinkles amidst the virga this morning gave way to mostly sunny skies this afternoon.  Clouds rolled in this evening, however.

Highs today reached 65-72.

High at the Purdue Airport was 71 (with thermometer issue at the airport appears resolved).  We actually hit 71.6 here at the WLFI ob site, making it the warmest day of the year so far & the warmest since the 76.1 on October 10.

Best rainfall coverage over the next 7 days is Monday night & Tuesday night (50-60%).

I went with 40% Saturday with that peak mid to late morning with showers (0.05-0.15" rainfall totals followed by patchy fog Saturday night-Sunday morning with 31-35).

30% coverage of some showers/t'storms looks good for Monday & Tuesday with lots of dry time.  It will be breezy to windy by Tuesday to Tuesday night.

Monday night shows a tendency for greatest rainfall coverage to be in the northern 1/2 to 2/3 of the area.

Tuesday night tends to show line of t'storms just ahead of cold front.

Parameters still show MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK.  A corridor of higher severe risk resides west & southwest of our area.

Some data is suggesting a slowing arrival of the front & surface low.  This could mean more in the way of t'storms on Wednesday than Tuesday night.

We will monitor. 

If this occurs, then Wednesday would tend to be warmer than the forecast of 65-70 early, then falling.

Late next week looks cooler.

Overall, April 9-17 looks cooler than normal with a trend toward continued overall below normal rainfall.  Many days will have highs in the 40s & 50s with lows near freezing.

I cannot completely rule out a even a system with some rain & SNOW showers.

Warmer, wet, stormy pattern looks to take hold for latter half of April.  Next preliminary severe weather risk after April 7-8 is after April 18, it appears.

Summer shows a continued tendency for above normal temperatures overall.

Precipitation is a bit below normal, mainly due to drier latter half of summer after a wetter first half.  This would change if we see tropical remnants impacting our area more.  There is certainly an earmark for an above average Atlantic hurricane season as well transition to a La Nina.

June-July-August overall mean temperature anomalies:

June-July-August precipitation anomalies:

Mean temperatures continue to show tendency to be above normal for the entire Lower 48 for Fall 2020.

September-October-November mean temperature anomalies:

I think September & October will be drier than normal (they are typically drier anyway), but rainfall in November will shift us to just a bit below normal oveall for the fall (as we catch up).

September-October-November precipitation anomalies:

45

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 30901

Reported Deaths: 1964
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion9040531
Lake3191167
Cass15796
Allen121365
St. Joseph113234
Hendricks110365
Hamilton109291
Johnson1065102
Elkhart93827
Madison57658
Bartholomew46733
Porter46521
Clark45038
LaPorte38721
Tippecanoe3563
Jackson3531
Howard34417
Delaware34027
Hancock31527
Shelby31121
Floyd31138
Boone27935
Morgan25724
Vanderburgh2402
Decatur22131
White2128
Montgomery21114
Clinton2041
Harrison18321
Grant17820
Noble17420
Dubois1712
Greene16723
Warrick16326
Dearborn16221
Monroe15810
Henry1556
Lawrence14222
Miami1351
Vigo1357
Putnam1297
Jennings1264
Orange12222
Scott1153
Ripley1126
Franklin1068
Carroll882
Daviess8116
Steuben762
Newton7210
Wabash722
Kosciusko711
Wayne665
Marshall611
LaGrange592
Washington521
Jasper521
Fayette504
Fulton461
Rush452
Jefferson411
Jay410
Clay381
Pulaski380
Randolph373
Whitley342
Brown331
Sullivan311
Starke303
Owen301
DeKalb281
Knox240
Benton240
Crawford230
Perry230
Huntington222
Tipton221
Wells220
Switzerland190
Blackford191
Fountain172
Parke170
Posey170
Spencer141
Gibson132
Ohio130
Adams121
Warren121
Martin100
Union80
Vermillion80
Pike50
Unassigned0152
West Lafayette
Clear
87° wxIcon
Hi: 88° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 89°
Kokomo
Clear
85° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 88°
Rensselaer
Clear
86° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 87°
Fowler
Clear
86° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 87°
Williamsport
Clear
85° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 87°
Crawfordsville
Scattered Clouds
81° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 83°
Frankfort
Scattered Clouds
85° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 88°
Delphi
Clear
83° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 85°
Monticello
Clear
83° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 85°
Logansport
Clear
84° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 86°
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