SEVERE WX : Flood Warning View Alerts

April 28, 1:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest on the locally-heavy rainfall in two main bands over the area, the risk of an isolated severe storm or two & what is expected through the weekend to next week...

Posted: Apr 28, 2021 12:52 PM
Updated: Apr 28, 2021 1:06 PM

Showers & storms should form in a line along the cold front to our north & move eastward with time this afternoon.

Meanwhile, showers & storms should from to our southwest & move east & northeastward this afternoon.

This will result into two areas of showers & storms moving through the area this afternoon.

There is the risk of an isolated severe storm or two given the shear & buoyancy present.

Locally-heavy rainfall is possible in some heavy downpours.

A lull in the action is possible this evening.

Rain is likely tonight with some locally-heavy rainfall possible for some localized flash flooding (even with current dry soil conditions). 

A few embedded storms are possible along & south of 18.  An isolated embedded severe storm cannot be ruled out.

Widespread rainfall should taper to just a few scattered showers by 8 a.m.

A few scattered to scattered showers will pass then in the morning to early afternoon before completely tapering.

Sunshine is even possible in the afternoon Thursday with a strong northwest wind.

Highs should run 61-68 after morning lows of 48-58.

TOTAL RAINFALL of 1.5-3" possible (isolated +3") in two main bands over the area....one central & north & another in the south.

In-between, totals may be less.

Winds will go light to calm & it will cloud up Thursday evening-night as a secondary cold front & weak shortwave pass with a few isolated showers.

Behind it, wind will crank back up & be gusty from the north up to 34 mph overnight to early Friday morning.

Skies will then clear with lows 40-46.

Friday looks good with 60s, followed by 40s Friday night, then 70s Saturday & 80s Sunday.  The weekend looks good with sunshine!

Tuesday-Thursday AM of next week is active with multiple rounds of showers & storms with locally-heavy rainfall.

Wednesday is the main day for severe weather risk here with SLIGHT to ENHANCED RISK parameters showing up & near/at MODERATE criteria Arkansas, southeast Missouri, Tennessee, western Kentucky.

We will monitor.

After highs in the 80s, cooler, drier weather should follow with highs Thursday & Friday in the 60s with lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s for some "Black Locust Winter".

Around May 10 or 11 appears to be a key severe weather day, as well with higher parameters showing up.

Brief dry period is expected with cooler, then much warmer weather.

May 17-25 looks to become active severe weather-wise as well with locally-heavy rainfall before we dry out with a big surge in heat.

No doubt in late May to early June, we will likely see a random, fleeting "Blackberry Winter" with brief cool snap.  We always do, even in a very warm year.  It usually brings our last night well into the 40s until next September.

West Lafayette
Clear
71° wxIcon
Hi: 72° Lo: 41°
Feels Like: 71°
Kokomo
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65° wxIcon
Hi: 68° Lo: 41°
Feels Like: 65°
Rensselaer
Partly Cloudy
64° wxIcon
Hi: 69° Lo: 39°
Feels Like: 64°
Fowler
Partly Cloudy
72° wxIcon
Hi: 69° Lo: 42°
Feels Like: 72°
Williamsport
Clear
67° wxIcon
Hi: 70° Lo: 40°
Feels Like: 67°
Crawfordsville
Partly Cloudy
66° wxIcon
Hi: 70° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 66°
Frankfort
Clear
66° wxIcon
Hi: 68° Lo: 41°
Feels Like: 66°
Delphi
Clear
66° wxIcon
Hi: 69° Lo: 40°
Feels Like: 66°
Monticello
Clear
66° wxIcon
Hi: 70° Lo: 39°
Feels Like: 66°
Logansport
Clear
64° wxIcon
Hi: 69° Lo: 40°
Feels Like: 64°
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