Severe storms will occur just northwest of us this evening-tonight where dynamics with cold pocket aloft & tongue of higher dew points will reside.
We are just looking at increasing clouds & 60-62 for lows tonight with a few isolated to spotty showers around tonight-Tuesday morning.
Cold front will pass tomorrow morning-midday, followed by lake breeze front. A few isolated to spotty showers are possible, but any spotty storms will fire well south of us. Our rainfall coverage will run around 30%. Any rainfall amounts that do occur will be light (0.05" or less).
Low, dreary clouds, brisk northwest, then north winds will follow the cold front & especially lake breeze front. Temperatures will fall to 50-58 (54 Greater Lafayette) over the viewing area by 5 p.m. from north to south after highs 60-68 from northwest to southeast over the area (67 Greater Lafayette).
With clearing skies & winds going light to calm tomorrow night, some patchy frost is possible with lows 32-38 over the viewing area.
Our last 32 is typically April 20-27. The 32 in the northeast Wednesday morning follows our climatology well.
Normal last 36 or patchy frost is May 1-7.
Wednesday should rebound with highs 65-71 with mostly sunny skies & an east to southeast wind 7-12 mph.
Wednesday night lows will not be as cold at 43-48.
A few showers are possible late Thursday as clouds increase. Highs will run 67-73. Coverage of rainfall will run around 35%. It looks like any of these showers should be rather brief & fall in the 4-8 p.m. time frame over the viewing area.
Any rainfall amounts that occur will be light (less than 0.10").
The widespread rain that falls Thursday afternoon should stay south of the area.
Friday & Saturday look good, followed by a few storms Sunday with warm front draped right along our northern tier of counties.
Sunday-Monday is not the easiest forecast because if the warm front sets up just 60 miles south of the projected position, much of the area will be in the 60s & NOT the 70s to 80. It could also be a situation where the north is in the 60s & the central & or the south is 70s to 80. We will monitor. It is a bit tedious with the position of the warm front.
Some additional storms are possible Monday as front continues to sit. A disturbance along that front, along with higher humidity & unstable airmass, should generate some storms.
A few storms may occur next Wednesday-Thursday with warmth & pretty high humidity with southerly winds.
More widespread rain & storms will not affect us until next Friday. That is the next best potential of more widespread, soaking rainfall area-wide. Some severe weather risk may flirt with us at times Monday-Thursday of next week from any storm, but Friday may feature the better risk for the week.
Farm fields, especially on higher ground, will dry allowing field work & corn planting to commence. Weeds will be growing very rapidly next week in the warmth, so it would be a time that herbicide would work very well as weed metabolism will be high next week.
- April 22, 4:30 PM Weather Forecast Update
- April 30, 2 PM Weather Forecast Update
- November 22, 7 PM Weather Forecast Update
- December 22, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update
- May 22, 1 PM Weather Forecast Update
- May 22, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update
- July 22, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update
- October 22, 9 PM Weather Forecast Update
- April 15, 2 PM Weather Forecast Update
- April 2, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update