SEVERE WX : Freeze Warning View Alerts
STREAMING NOW: Watch Now

April 2, 10:45 AM Weather Forecast Update

55-degree drop to 60-degree rise ahead!!

Posted: Apr 2, 2021 9:45 AM
Updated: Apr 2, 2021 4:02 PM

March 2021 was much warmer than normal.  It was also wetter than normal here.

Warmer:

Wetter:

The viewing area was snow-free for March, unlike the past several years:

March 2021 ended up as the 6th warmest on record since 1879 in Greater Lafayette.  It also saw the greatest number of days at or above 70 since the historic, warmest March on record of 2012.

Top 10 Warmest Marches

1.  56.6  2012

2.  53.6  1946

3.  51.0  1945

4.  50.0  1921

5.  49.4  1910

6.  48.6  2021

7.  48.5  1929

8.  48.4  1973

9.  48.0  1935

10.  47.8  1938

Now, this brief cold snap has arrived (after up to 0.3" snow in our north & northeastern counties yesterday morning from lake effect snow shower/squall band).....

Our low at our WLFI ob site dropped to 20 this morning.  Not far from the weather station are a few apple trees & they are at about the "tight cluster" bud stage.  At 21, there is 90% fruit loss.  How advanced your apple trees are is dependent upon the cultivar & where you are in the viewing area.  The southwestern counties are farthest along in vegetation, so they would be affected the most.

Thoughts are that there was likely 10-40% over a lot of the viewing area (except far north & northeast) with locally up to 90% in southwest.

At the Purdue Airport, the low was 21.  The record for Purdue University/Purdue Airport back to 1879 is 10 set in the very cold late winter to spring of 1899 (there was one of the worst Arctic outbreaks on record in February 1899).

Lows ranged from 18-23. 

23  Rochester-Fulton County Airport; Kentland Muncipal Airport

21  Purdue University Airport; 6 SE Covington; Peru Municipal Airport; Flora Municipal Airport; Crawfordsville; 2 S New Market

20  WLFI Ob Site; 3 E Attica; Pine Village; 3 E Fowler; Remington

19  Logansport-Cass County Airport; Grissom ARB; Kokomo Municipal Airport; Frankfort Municipal Airport; Flora Municipal Airport

18  Monticello-White County Airport; Delphi; Morocco

______________________________________________________________________________

OUTLOOK High & low in parentheses ( ) are the Greater Lafayette numbers.....

TODAY-SATURDAY, APRIL 10:

Today:  Mostly sunny-sunny.  High 47-56 (54).  Low Tonight:  29-36 (34)

Tomorrow:  Sunny.  Windy (SW G30-40 mph).  High: 64-71 (69).  Low:  37-46 (45)

Sunday:  Mostly sunny-sunny.  Not so windy (SW G20-26 mph). High:  70-77 (75).  Low:  46-55 (52)

Monday:  Partly cloudy.  Windy (SW G 30-40 mph).  High: 74-80 (77).  Low:  55-60 (55)

Tuesday:  Partly cloudy.  Windy (SW G 30-35 mph).  High 77-82 (81) 

Tuesday night:  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Windy (SSW G 25-35 mph).  Few sct'd showers & storms.  Low  58-63 (62)

Wednesday:  Mostly cloudy.  Windy (SSE G26-32 mph).  Some scattered showers & storms.  High 73-78 (77).

Wednesday night:  Mostly cloudy.  Windy (S G26-32 mph).  Some scattered showers & storms.  Low 55-62 (61).

Thursday:  Mostly cloudy.  Windy (S G 28-32 mph).  Periods of showers & storms.  Risk of a few severe storms 6-9 p.m. (Up to SLIGHT RISK parameters).  My analog & CIPS analog supports this notion.

Thursday night through Saturday:  Mostly cloudy with periodic showers & storms.  Any severe risk shifts just south of area.  Less wind.  Highs 64-72 (67-71), lows 47-57 (52-56).

TOTAL RAINFALL TUESDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY:  1-3" (1.75-2.50")  Band of 4-7" possible northwest & southeast of our area with flooding.  We need to monitor closely & make sure that band does not set up in our area.

----------------------------------------------------

Sunday, April 10:  Partly cloudy.  High 60-66 (65).  Low 37-44 (41).

Monday, April 11:  Mostly sunny.  High 65-70 (68). 

Monday night, April 11-12:  Increasing clouds.  Low 43-50 (48).

Tuesday, April 12:  Partly cloudy.  High 65-70 (68)  Low 41-50 (47)

Wednesday, April 13:  Increasing clouds & breezy (SSE G20-26 mph).  High 66-72 (71)

Wednesday night, April 13-14:  Mostly cloudy & breeze (SSE G22-30 mph).  Sct'd showers & storms.  low 50-57 (56).

Thursday, April 14:  Showers & storms.  Some severe risk possible (MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK parameters) Windy (S to NW G 26-35 mph).  High 68-77 (76).  CIPS data keeps risk in the Plains, my analog shows it extending eastward to our area.

Thursday night, April 14-15:  Clearing.  Windy (NW G30-40 mph).  Low 38-43 (41).

Friday, April 15:  Partly cloudy.  Windy (NW G30-40 mph).  High 57-64 (63).  Low 33-38 (37).

Saturday, April 16:  Mostly sunny.  Windy (NNW G30-40 mph).  High 54-62 (60).  Low 31-36 (34).

Sunday, April 17:  Mostly sunny.  Breezy (SE G22-27 mph).  High 65-71 (68).  Low 50-58 (56).

Monday, April 18:  Clouding up.  Windy (S G30-40 mph).  Few sct'd showers & isolated storms (clipper-type system).  High 68-76 (74).  Lack of solid instability & displaced steep low-level lapse rate precludes any mention of severe (despite good shear & dynamics).  Only way this will change is if steep lapse rates (cold pocket) are displaced atop warm sector & ahead of cold front.

Monday night, April 18-19:  Showers ending.  Windy (NW G30-40 mph).  Low 36-42 (39).

Tuesday, April 19:  Partly cloudy.  Windy (NNW 30-40 mph) High 53-60 (58).  Low 29-32 (31).

Wednesday, April 20:  Sunny, then increasing clouds.  E wind becoming SE to S.  High 58-64 (62).  Low 38-46 (45).

Thursday, April 21: Partly cloudy.  Breezy (S G26-35 mph).  High 65-72 (70).  Low 45-56 (54).

April 22-May 1:  LOTS of severe weather & severe weather outbreaks in the Plains to Lower & Mid-Mississippi Valley. 

We look warmer than normal & wetter than normal.  Preliminarly analog & long-range model data show tendency for greatest severe weather risk here for the period in the April 26-27 time frame.

---------------------------------------------------------

Thoughts here are of slight cool-down May 2-3, then warm-up with showers/storms May 4-5, then "Black Locust Winter" May 6-10 with some patchy frost with lows 32-39 (likely around 36 Greater Lafayette).

Warmer, wetter, severe weather pattern with greater & consistent severe risk here shows up May 11-16.

After May 17, looks like much of the substantial severe weather & rainfall risk shifts northwestward to the Dakotas & Minnesota to Iowa & Wisconsin & Ontario like July. 

We may have a renegade event here, however.

Nonetheless, it is definitely & hot, dry trend in late May with early onset of summer temperatures of 90 to the 90s.  Looks like the hottest late May weather since the record heat of 2018 & before that, the near/record heat of 2012.

June looks hotter & drier than normal with potential drought.  The way this would change is IF we can get the "Ring of Fire" pattern with rounds of showers & storms with severe weather across our area, rather than areas northwest, north & northeast of us.

That would be the deciding factor.

Even in the hot, dry pattern here we will see some storms, but if the current pattern continues to hold in analog & model solutions, they will be more few & far between with dominant track north of the area & more airmass, pulsey storms than more typical, widespread June storms.

July looks hotter & drier than normal with drought risk, but "Ring of Fire" will be monitored.

August looks hotter & drier than normal, but the tropics could be of great help & the "Ring of Fire" pattern will be monitored.

In all three months, risk of Progressive Derecho will be monitored, as pattern is good for one to get into our viewing area or nearby.

Lafayette
Cloudy
42° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 30°
Feels Like: 39°
Kokomo
Partly Cloudy
34° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 24°
Feels Like: 34°
Rensselaer
Cloudy
34° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 31°
Feels Like: 34°
Lafayette
Cloudy
42° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 29°
Feels Like: 39°
Danville
Cloudy
37° wxIcon
Hi: 47° Lo: 30°
Feels Like: 37°
Frankfort
Partly Cloudy
36° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 26°
Feels Like: 30°
Frankfort
Mostly Cloudy
36° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 25°
Feels Like: 30°
Monticello
Mostly Cloudy
38° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 27°
Feels Like: 38°
Monticello
Mostly Cloudy
38° wxIcon
Hi: 48° Lo: 30°
Feels Like: 38°
Logansport
Partly Cloudy
34° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 25°
Feels Like: 34°
Freezing to 80s & Storms...
WLFI Radar
WLFI Temps
WLFI Planner

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 709455

Reported Deaths: 13234
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion967001722
Lake51824946
Allen39279673
Hamilton34580406
St. Joseph34207541
Elkhart27376432
Vanderburgh22091394
Tippecanoe21886212
Porter17952299
Johnson17556374
Hendricks16837310
Clark12705190
Madison12358337
Vigo12226244
Monroe11484166
LaPorte11175204
Delaware10374184
Howard9677211
Kosciusko9152114
Hancock8000139
Bartholomew7896155
Warrick7698155
Floyd7567176
Wayne6910198
Grant6852171
Boone6562100
Morgan6404138
Dubois6086117
Marshall5792109
Dearborn570776
Cass5689102
Henry5582101
Noble542683
Jackson493970
Shelby479895
Lawrence4347118
Gibson429089
Harrison428970
Clinton420253
Montgomery418386
DeKalb412184
Whitley381439
Huntington380180
Miami373265
Knox367089
Steuben366657
Putnam353360
Jasper351346
Wabash347878
Adams338153
Ripley334968
Jefferson313280
White308554
Daviess289699
Wells286681
Decatur279192
Fayette277362
Greene270785
Posey269133
Scott261553
LaGrange254270
Clay253545
Randolph235880
Washington231131
Spencer228031
Jennings225147
Fountain208945
Sullivan207942
Starke205452
Owen192656
Fulton192140
Jay186429
Carroll186120
Perry181036
Orange178053
Rush170824
Vermillion166143
Franklin165635
Tipton161043
Parke144616
Blackford133931
Pike130334
Pulaski114045
Newton104234
Brown100740
Crawford97914
Benton97113
Martin82915
Warren80115
Switzerland7698
Union70110
Ohio56011
Unassigned0408

COVID-19 Important links and resources

As the spread of COVID-19, or as it's more commonly known as the coronavirus continues, this page will serve as your one-stop for the resources you need to stay informed and to keep you and your family safe. CLICK HERE

Closings related to the prevention of the COVID-19 can be found on our Closings page.

Community Events