MCS with heavy rainfall still looks to pass Thursday morning.
Some severe risk will exist 4:30-8:30 a.m. with main threat wind & lesser isolated brief tornado & small hail risk.
Much of the area is under MARGINAL RISK of severe weather (isolated severe risk), but SLIGHT nudges against us with some potential of that being pushed eastward a hair.
Showers & some storms will follow this.
By mid to late afternoon it is rain & falling temperatures from 64-68 to 51-55 with strong northerly winds with pretty steady, chilly rainfall.
Wind-driven rain continues through Thursday night & into Friday morning. North winds may run 25-40 mph with lows of 40-45, leading to wind chills in the 30s. Pretty nasty, cold night & Friday morning!
Rainfall become increasingly scattered & spotty Friday morning to midday. It should end by afternoon.
Some localized clearing is even possible late. However, it doesn't necessarily look like much & some areas will stay completely cloudy & gray all day. Cool winds will continue with highs 49-54.
How cold it gets Friday night will be governed by how quickly or if it completely clears & how quickly the winds diminish. 30s are a given, but whether it is 31-35 with frost or 35-38 will be determined by those mentioned factors.
Skies look bright Saturday with 57-63, followed by 37-45 Saturday night. The bad thing is that Saturday is looking windy from the west-northwest to northwest at 15-30 mph, adding a chill to the air, despite warmer temperatures (compared to Friday).
Easter Sunday looks good with partly cloudy skies & highs 68-75 with southwest winds 10-20 mph.