April 17, 1 PM Weather Forecast Update

1-4" of snow north of US 24 reported, now another freeze tonight.

Posted: Apr 17, 2020 12:27 PM
Updated: Apr 17, 2020 1:50 PM

Looks like 1-4" occur north of 24 with less than 1" in a narrow corridor for a while just south of there.

I had brief snow as we wet-bulbed from 40 to 35 overnight, but it went to rain, as it was just only about 1-2 degrees from all snow at low-levels.

It was literally 1 to less than 2 degrees from mostly snow in Benton, White & Cass counties.  Extremely tricky!

Dew points rose a bit too much prior to precipitation, prevent best wet-bulbing for more in the way of snow in the heart of area & parts of the north.

Totals as of 1 p.m.:

4" Talma

3" Akron

3" 7 NE Demotte

2" Roselawn

2" Morocco

1" Twelve Mile

0.5" Macy

Trace Kentland

Trace Remington

Trace Monticello

Trace Flora

Trace Logansport

Some spotty rain & snow is likely this afternoon-evening with lots of clouds, some fog & blustery, chilly highs of 38-46.

We should clear tonight with frost & some late patchy fog & lows 23-29.

Saturday looks good with sunshine & 52-60, followed by 39-44 Saturday night.  Only issue Saturday will be strong gusty winds from the southwest up to 33 mph.

Sunday should be a few scattered showers & t'showers morning to early afternoon with cloudy skies.  Then, there should be a late afternoon-early evening break with mostly cloudy skies, followed by a few showers & t'showers in the evening as cold front passes.  Some some clearing will follow.  With breezy to windy conditions, highs of 57-64 are likely.

As skies clear & winds diminish, some patchy fog is possible Sunday night-early Monday morning.

Severe weather outbreak is likely from eastern Texas to South Carolina with ENHANCED RISK for severe weather up.

Thinking that corridor of near or at MODERATE is possible from southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi to southern Alabama where a belt of higher strong, longer-track tornado risk may evolve.

Periodic showers/t'storms are likely late next week to next weekend.

A couple of periods of some severe weather risk are possible.  First looks MARGINAL.  Second on the weekend looks SLIGHT to ENHANCED per parameters projected.

Temperatures certainly warm with highs 60s & even 70s (80 next weekend?) & lows in the 50s to 60s. 

Above normal warmth central Plains & East & unseasonably cold weather in the West & Northern Plains signals stormy (with severe weather episodes) pattern here & through Midwest, Plains & parts of the South late April to early May.

Rainfall looks above normal here.

Mid-May is cooler, drier than normal here with lack of severe weather.

Late May colder weather in Rockies & Plains & warmth Midwest & East signal stormy pattern (with severe weather episodes) again here with above normal rainfall.

Looks colder than normal Plains & Rockies & warmer than normal East.

June also looks wetter than normal here & wetter than normal from the Northern Rockies & Plains to throughout the Plains & East.

Only the Far West & central & southern Rockies look to have below normal precipitation.

July is trending hotter & drier than normal, especially mid to late month.

Two areas of substantial above-normal temperature anomalies will likely develop.  One will be eastern Canada to New England to as far west as the Midwest.

The other should be over the Pacific Northwest.

It may be a bit cooler (more normal) in parts of the Rockies & Northern Plains.

Temperature anomalies:

Rainfall anomalies:

Parts of the Rockies & Plains should see normal to slightly-below normal temperatures for August overall.  The cores of highest above normal temperatures will be similar to July:  Northwest U.S. & Eastern Canada to Northeastern U.S. to as far west as Midwest.

Data shows landfalling tropical systems have influence on our August rainfall.  Without these, it looks drier than normal, but signals of enhanced tropical development & landfalling are showing up.

June-July-August 2020 overall temperatrure anomalies:  Hotter Midwest to Northeast.....normal to below normal Plains & Rockies & hotter Northwest & Far West U.S.

June-July-August rainfall:  Below normal rainfall Far West & Far East U.S. with above normal central & South.  Our above normal rainfall is part of June & then earmark shows up in latter August with tropical development.

July looks the driest.

July also looks like the hottest month of the summer.

September-October-November 2020 (Fall) continue to trend drier than normal overall.

Fall 2020 continues to trend warmer than normal.

Deep South looks normal temperature-wise due to more rainfall (partially from tropical development).

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