SEVERE WX : Flood Warning View Alerts

April 15, 5 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is your latest weather forecast update for now to May 15.

Posted: Apr. 16, 2019 3:34 PM
Updated: Apr. 16, 2019 9:14 PM

With warm front surging well to the north & nice clearing south to north today, temperatures soared to 74-78 area-wide.

Clouds will tend to increase tonight & weak disturbance near warm front will make for a few isolated showers & t'showers in the far northern tier of counties with lows 54-56 over the viewing area.

Isolated showers & t'showers are possible tomorrow morning area-wide with secondary weak disturbance.  Mostly sunny skies, warm & windy conditions should follow in the afternoon with highs 72-77.

So, yellow for mowing tomorrow morning, then you are fine for the afternoon.

Thursday is a different story.  The grass will be wet all day & it will be muddy.  You will also be dodging rain & storms.

After only 60-64 Wednesday night, rain & storms will pass Wednesday morning with MARGINAL RISK of severe.  With some many showers & storms around through the afternoon & so much cloudiness, it seems like it will be hard to destablize things & get a renewed severe risk in the afternoon to evening as the cold front passes.

The main threat is isolated severe gusts Wednesday morning, along with torrential downpours resulting in street flooding & ponding in yards & fields.

1-3" of rainfall total is likely area-wide Thursday-Friday.

Friday looks mostly cloudy to cloudy, breezy to windy & showery with highs only near 52 after low to mid 40s in the morning.

After 37-40 with a few cold rain showers Friday night-Saturday morning, Saturday should feature clearing skies & highs at 55-60.  It will be rather breezy Saturday from the northwest at 15-25 mph until wind diminish late.

Lows of 32-38 are possible Saturday night as winds go light to calm.

Easter Sunday still looks good, so far.  Highs of 67-73 are likely with sunshine & south-southwest wind at 10-20 mph after a cold morning.

Showers & storms are likely early next week.  Trend is for late Monday night-Tuesday morning.  As long as this system does not speed up too much to impact Sunday, Sunday looks good!

There are SLIGHT RISK parameters setting up Monday west of us from Iowa & Illinois to Texas with MARGINAL RISK type data showing up for late Monday night-Tuesday morning for us.

After that, 60s to 72 are possible Tuesday, followed by 60s Wednesday.  We will then surge into the 70s to even potentially some 80s Thursday-Friday with the risk of showers & storms late.

Normal high/low for this 7-day forecast overall is 64/43.

It looks warmer than normal overall late April through early May.

Rainfall looks near to slightly above normal for the same period.  Normal rainfall for this perod is around 2.12".

There will be some severe weather risk around in that overall warm pattern with multiple storm systems passing through.

Note how far north the severe weather risk gets, signaling a large expanse of warmth all the way well into Canada.

I am thinking it is going to cool off for a bit in mid-May, however to temperatures below normal with below normal rainfall.

Much warmer weather should return in late May.

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 73°
Kokomo
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 73°
Rensselaer
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 72°
Fowler
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 72°
Williamsport
Clear
75° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 75°
Crawfordsville
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 72°
Frankfort
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 73°
Delphi
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 73°
Monticello
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 73°
Logansport
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 73°
A few storms are possible Saturday.
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