Easter Sunday 2020 outbreak is now up to 9 EF3 tornadoes & 1 EF4 in the South. Some of the EF3s may be upgraded to EF4, as damage looks borderline.
Death toll is now up to 34 people, making it the deadliest tornado outbreak since April 2014.
72 tornadoes have been confirmed with 63 EF0-EF2s.
This ranks up with historic HIGH RISK events & is the greatest number of strong to violent tornadoes in an outbreak since April 2014.
Also, a total of 141 Tornado Warnings were issued by NWS, the most in one day since the March 2012 outbreak (Henryville, Indiana tornado).
Highs today reached 42-47 after 24-32 this morning.
Lows tonight of 26-31 will rise to 30-34 late, then wet-bulb with the snow to 30-32.
Wave of snow Wednesday morning will give way to some spotty rain/snow/sleet/graupal showers after noon with lots of clouds, some sun poking through at times & blustery northwest winds to 26 mph.
Highs of 41-46 are likely.
1" or less of snow is possible on grassy & elevated surfaces. Along along the Kankakee River in the far, far northwest may see 1-2".
It will all melt very quickly, however.
A heavy frost with some patchy fog is possible tomorrow night with clearing skies, decreasing winds & lows 25-28.
After a mostly sunny start, it will cloud up with time Thursday. Skies should turn cloudy late in the day with a west wind at 8-15 mph.
Highs of 45-49 are likely.
Rain to rain/snow to snow is likely Thursday evening-night to Friday morning with temperatures wet-bulbing from 38-42 to 31-33 with time.
Wind should turn to the northeast.
Looks like the 1-3" band is setting up in the northern part of the area & totals should be 1" or less with southward extent as part of it may mix with rain, especially at the onset.
We will continue to monitor.
We warm up this weekend with a few showers late Sunday-Monday morning.
Some showers & t'storms are possible Tuesday, then again Wednesday with potential of some 70s returning.
Some severe weather risk on the order of MARGINAL to SLIGHT is possible Wednesday. We will monitor.
The next bigger severe weather episode to watch is centered around April 22. Severe weather outbreak could occur from Indiana to the Gulf Coast. Our parameters look MARGINAL to SLIGHT, but ENHANCED southern Illinois & Indiana to the Gulf Coast. A pocket of MODERATE parameters appears when you overlap deep layer shear, low-level flow strength, surface instability & deeply steep lapse rate over Arkansas to southeastern Missouri to Mississippi. This may extend into Tennessee, Alabama & Georiga with time with time. Parameters suggest the risk of multiple tornadoes. in the South, northward to parts of the Ohio River Valley.
We may see 70s to 80s at this juncture.
A strong, gradient wind event may occur on the back end of this system with northwest to west wind gusts 40-50 mph.
More severe weather may follow just a few days later as we exit this cooler, drier than normal regime & enter a wetter, warmer, stormy pattern overall.