April 12, 12:45 PM Weather Forecast Update

Thundery, gusty night, but it is a nice Friday! Rain is back by Sunday.

Posted: Apr 12, 2019 11:43 AM
Updated: Apr 12, 2019 12:55 PM

We recieved reports of a few power outages overnight & a few trees downed in Tippecanoe & Clinton counties.  One tree fell & blocked the intersection of Bennett & Teal Roads near Central Catholic High School on the southwest side of Lafayette.

These are the preliminary storm reports from the Storm Prediction Center.  You can see what higher dew points do in regards to severe weather.

The higher dew points over Georgia, Carolinas began to be slowly pulled northward.  Once some of our dynamics & shear 7 the trigger got to the plume, note the number of damaging wind & even 1 tornado report from late lastnight & this morning from far southeastern Indiana, northern Kentucky to Ohio.

NWS storm surveys are underway in a few counties around Cincinnati & other counties in west-central Ohio for possible tornado damage in multiple locations.

Also, note the hail reports that occurred with the BLIZZARD in Minnesota!  This is a testament to the EXTREME rising motion & dynamics of this Plains storm.

Today will see a lot of sun, but it will be windy with southwest to west gusts 40-45 mph at times.  Highs will run 56-62.

After lows tonight 32-37 with wind diminishing, they will crank up to 10-15 mph from the west tomorrow morning & into the afternoon.

High/mid clouds will be on the increase Saturday with highs 57-61.

Dress warmly for The Challenge 5K at Purdue!  It will be in the 30s with wind chills in the 20s to around 30.

In the afternoon, even with a 57-61, which is nice, it may feel cool due to the breeze.

Widespread moderate to heavy rainfall comes in Saturday overnight & lasts through Sunday morning.  A few embedded t'storms are possible.

Winds will be howling from the northeast to 42 mph with temperatures in the 30s & 40s & wind chills in the 20s & 30s.  It will be a nasty, nasty Sunday morning & midday!

Note the severe weather Arkansas, southeastern Missouri, headed for western Kentucky & into Tennessee along & south of the warm front.

This will be part of a severe weather outbreak that will begin today in Texas, really ramp up in Texas, Arkansas & Louisiana Saturday & then March east & northeastward.  A few strong to violent tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

Watch the snow develop as cold air filters in & dynamic cooling occurs.  Also note how the solid, heavier rain becomes more periodic & lighter here around midday.

It you are prone to pain from low air pressure, Sunday won't be great.  Note the 996 mb surface pressure with the surface low just south of us at midday.

As storm moves northeastward, warm front will be pulled northward, bringing severe weather risk all the way to Indianapolis, northeastward to Toledo, Ohio.

Note the severe t'storms from southern & eastern Indiana to nothern Ohio, Pennsylvania, event southward through Kentucky, West Virginia, etc.

Temperatures will be in the 70s to even lower 80s from southern/southeastern Indiana & eastward.

Our temperatures Sunday will run near 40 to the mid 40s.  Only exception in eastern Howard County, which might see a quick boost to around 51.  I am going for a high of only 45 in Greater Lafayette.

Our temperatures may even fall some in the late afternoon-evening to the 30s.

Winds will be strong from the northeast (then north late) all day, though they look the strongest in the morning & evening.

Our wind-driven lighter rain will mix with & may end as some snow in the evening & into the night time hours of Sunday, especially in our northwestern & northern counties.

If there is any light accumulation it would be confined to elevated surfaces.

Total rainfall from this system looks to run 0.80-1.40" for our area.

How cold it gets by Monday morning will be determined by how quickly the skies clear.  I was trending 28-32.  I went with a 29-36 last night.  The Canadian model has 24-31, which seems a bit too cold.

I think 28-34 is a good middle road with a mention of frost & freezing.

After highs of 49-56 Monday & 30s Monday night, 69-75 returns Tuesday.

Warmth, strong southerly winds, showers & t'storms & then risk of severe weather by Thursday, returns.

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Widespread rainfall by Sunday.
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