Peak gusts yesterday reached up to 57 mph. The +50 mph gusts tended to occur in the rain/snow & graupal showers.
We actually had some local graupal accumulation like snow from a couple of showers in our northeastern counties.
Another shower produced a heavy snow squall with 0.1-0.3" of snow on grassy surfaces in Cass & Miami counties, as well.
Here at the WLFI ob site, a gust of 45 mph occurred with a brief rain/snow shower around 6:45 p.m. Thursday.
There is the heavy, very gusty rain/snow & rain/graupal showers with the 57 mph gust measured at Walton at CWOP weather station.
There is the heavy snow shower:
Lows this morning ranged from 28-34 with wind chills dropping to 18-25.
Today will be a windy one with gusts to 35 mph at times & highs 44-52.
The greatest amount of sunshine will be in the southwest half of the area.
After lows tonight of 32-36 (coldest in the northeast) clouds will increase & thicken. Temperatures will rise 37-41 as clouds roll in with some virga possible Saturday morning (precipitation that dries up on the way down.
Those clouds should depart & we should see a period of decent sunshine, followed by skies turning mostly cloudy to cloudy late in the day.
Winds will be strong from the south-southwest at 20-35 mph.
Highs of 56-62 are likely.
A few showers are possible after 5 p.m.
Showers will increase to 60% coverage overnight with even a couple to few isolated t'storms possible.
Lows of 46-51 are likely Saturday night.
Rainfall should taper early Sunday morning, followed by some clearing.
We should then cloud up again later in the day & some showers should return after 4 p.m. from the southwest & south.
Highs of 61-66 are likely with south-southwest winds 20-35 mph.
Note the widespread severe weather along & south of the Ohio River projected.
Also note some severe weather from eastern Kansas to Missouri.
Widespread showers & some t'storms should pivot through Sunday night. Rainfall coverage should go up to 90%.
There is a MARGINAL RISK of severe weather south of Indiana 18 as surface low deepens pretty rapidly over north-central Illinois. Dynamics & shear with strong pressure & height falls (with cold pocket of upper low)may bring a couple of isolated severe storms (wind & brief, isolated tornado). Isolated sub-severe hail cannot be ruled out.
So, it does look like we have at least MARGINAL RISK before April 19! After this one, I see no evidence for severe weather risk in our area until after April 19.
High wind event is possible Monday with northwest wind gusts of 45-55 mph likely. A few +55 mph gusts cannot be ruled out.
A period of rain/snow to snow showers is possible Monday morning, followed by a few snow showers & flurries in the afternoon with lots of clouds & temperatures only in the 30s! Wind chills will run in the teens to lower 20s.
It looks like blizzard conditions in central to northern Wisconsin Sunday night-Monday morning!
0.50-1" of total rainfall is likely Saturday evening to Monday morning.
This looks like a significant Easter Sunday for severe weather in the South with some long-track, strong to violent tornadoes possible (along with large to very large hail & damaging winds [some gusts +90 mph]).
Parameters suggest HIGH RISK centered around Jackson, Mississippi with a large area of MODERATE.
SPC has MODERATE over a large area, but that pocket of HIGH RISK would not surprise me.
Thinking ENHANCED may be pushed up to as far north as the Ohio River.
Disturbances will pivot through Tuesday-Thursday (with windy conditions) with some rain/snow to snow showers at times with partly cloudy to cloudy skies.
Daily highs of 38-46 are likely. Brief, localized, very minor snowfall accumulation is possible on some grassy surfaces at times. Lows near to below freezing are likely nightly.
The coldest night is shaping up to be Thursday night-Friday morning with lows 24-28 with widespread frost (as skies clear & winds go light).
I see no substantial warm-up until after April 19.
Late April looks warmer, wetter & stormy. This may continue to the first part of May, followed by a cool-down & our last light patchy frost in the viewing area of the spring.