Severe T'Storm Watch up for northeastern 5 counties of the viewing area until 2 a.m. (Pulaski, Fulton, Miami, Cass, White):
It has been a warm, windy afternoon with a increasingly strong cap. The warmer 80 or greater temperatures did indeed migrate eastward out of Illinois!
At the Purdue Airport, the high temperature of 82 was the warmest high so early in the year since 2012!
I kept records at WLFI 2009-2015 & now 2018 to present, so I have zero records for WLFI Spring 2016, 2017 or 2018. Nonetheless, I see we had lower 80s in early April in 2010 & lots of 80s in March 2012 (earliest 80 on record in mid-March).
The 2010 warmth at the start of April with multiple days in the 80s was some of the warmest weather for that first 5 days of that month since 1882.
Actual highs reached 78-82:
82 3 E Fowler
82 Kentland Municipal Airport
82 Purdue University Airport
82 Frankfort Municipal Airport
82 I-65/28 (Frankfort)
82 WLFI Ob Site
82 2 SE Romney
81 3 E Attica
81 I-65/Iroquois River (Rensselaer)
80 US 24/Crooked Creek (2 E Lake Cicott)
80 Round Grove
80 Peru Municipal Airport
80 Remington (Mary Anne's)
80 I-65/US 24 (Remington)
80 4 NE Monon
80 2 N Rensselaer
79 Flora Municipal Airport
79 Rensselaer-Jasper County Airport
79 Logansport-Cass County Airport
79 Rochester-Fulton County Airport
79 5 W Delphi
79 US 31/South Fork Deer Creek (Kokomo)
78 Galveston Airport
78 Crawfordsville Municipal Airport
78 Grissom Air Reserve Base
78 Kokomo Municipal Airport
78 Monticello-White County Airport
SLIGHT RISK of severe continues for our entire area with ENHANCED RISK north, northeast & east to southeast of us where severe weather outbreak will occur.
Severe T'Storm Watches are up north of the area.
The number of Severe T'Storm Warnings (in blue) is impressive, especially over Michigan!
There have already been a lot of reports of large hail up to 3" in diameter northwest & north of our area over the past couple of hours.
Severe weather outbreak with hail (up to 3" diameter), wind (up to 80 mph) & a few isolated tornadoes will race from eastern Wisconsin & far northern Illinois, through Lower Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania to West Virginia, Maryland & Virginia this evening through the overnight.
For us, broken band or line of semi-discrete to discrete storms will race through, but it looks like it may have much trouble solidifying a lot due to cap remaining a bit & not completely eroding away.
These t'storms will basically be the tail end of the widespread outbreak nearby, impacting us in the 10 p.m.-1 a.m. time frame.
So, SLIGHT RISK still looks good for storms that due 100% break through remaining capping with wind & even large hail risk.
We will monitor very closely through the evening to early overnight hours. Thinking Severe T'Storm Watch will be issued for northeastern half or 2/3 of viewing area with time.
Round of showers & storms should race through 8 p.m.-11 p.m. tomorrow after highs of 76-81 with windy conditions.
Severe weather risk will be up in the 8-11 p.m. time frame for supercells gelling into a line with best chance for severe in the southwestern half.
We will monitor very closely.
SLIGHT RISK expansion to part of area is likely, though it is south of us (per SPC forecasters) right now.
There will likely be ENHANCED area centered over northeastern Arkansas.
Looks windy to very windy tomorrow night to Thursday with some gusts 40-50 mph possible (an isolated +50 mph cannot be ruled out) with much colder weather & even a few spotty light rain/snow showers (lows 35-40, highs 40-46).
Looks chilly until pattern change after April 16.
I see no severe weather risk for our area after tomorrow night until after April 17.