What's this winter going to be like? When will you have a forecast?
Mary B., Frankfort
Thank you for the question Mary! I have released some analogs of this fall-winter-early spring on the blog. Analogs are years similar to this one that I combine to see the similarities. Those similarities help to gauge what may transpire over the next several months. 2002-03 winter has been a good match, so far.
Here are links to thoughts on the fall-winter-spring I released in June & August:
I will release the first of two official winter forecasts by September 15. I plan to work on them a lot this week.