Certainly, the better severe risk is south & southeast of our viewing area where a widespread outbreak is possible this afternoon-tonight.

Here in our viewing area, although there is the risk of some severe storms area-wide, the better risk is the farther east & southeast you go.

The main disturbance is now moving into northwestern counties with a pronounced band of cumulus ahead of it & some shower/storm development underway from Benton to Jasper counties.  This band of cumulus & showers/storms will be watched for development & increasing intensity.  However, you will notice a patch of rain with the disturbance coming in, too with lots of clouds in eastern Illinois cutting instability.

All this said storms may continue to fire on a band of agitated cumulus now in our northwest.  A patch of rain behind them will also rotate through.  However, it is possible that as clouds thin behind that patch of rain, a few more storms could re-fire.

So, really now-6 p.m., we may have cells continue to develop & then back build on the front edge of that patch of rain with some severe risk & then, IF the clouds can thin enough, there may be a window for a bit of re-development BEHIND that patch of rainfall for some severe risk as the actual cold front approaches & passes.

Wind is the main threat.  Hail & brief tornado are lesser risks.  SLIGHT RISK (scattered severe) remains along & east of a Lafayette line & ENHANCED (numerous severe) in the far east.  Western areas are in MARGINAL RISK (isolated severe) for severe.

Current radar:

Storm Prediction Center outlook: