After numerous showers & storms this morning-midday period, sunshine is appearing in parts of the area now, especially in the south & the northwest counties.
It also continue to warm & become muggy & unstable with nice south to southwest winds at 15-27 mph.
It is 77 right now at Fowler with an oppressive dew point of 76! Attica has 79 with a dew point of 75, while Covington is 83 with a dew point of 75. At the Purdue Airport, it is 75 with a dew point of 70. Winamac is cooler with 73 & a lower dew point of 63.
So, the warm front & outflow boundary from the morning storms is laid up over the southern/central parts of the viewing area.
This outflow boundary & warm front should become more active this evening to part of tonight with some scattered storms firing on it. Coverage should peak at 35-40%, so not everyone will see storms this evening.
The latest short-range, high-resolution analysis shows some storms flaring after 5 p.m., then exiting by 12 a.m.
There is the risk of a couple isolated severe storms with a hail, wind & very brief tornado threat.
The Storm Prediction Center has the entire viewing area in a MARGINAL RISK of severe weather.
Warm front should go north of the viewing area tomorrow with highs around 90 to as high as 94 with strong southwest winds, but very humidi conditions. Heat Advisories are up from parts of western Illinois to Oklahoma. Our heat indices will reach around 100 to some places seeing +105. Be carefull......it has been a while since we have seen heat indices like this.
A couple isolated storms could pop later in the day, but the main focus will be on the bow of severe storms that will track from Iowa, Wisconsin & northern Illinois to far northwestern Indiana.
Right now, it looks as if any severe risk will stay west, northwest & north of our area. There are indications that as it outruns the better wind fields aloft & moves into increasing capping over our area in the evening-night, it will rapidly gust out & collapse. However, the tail end of the bow could still bring a gust front with winds gusts up to 35 mph in our western/northwestern areas, along with some weakening showers before completely diminishing.
Monday & Tuesday look dry, hot & humid with highs near 90 to the 94 with heat indices around 100 & southwest winds 15-25 mph. Skies look partly cloudy. Morning lows will be warm & muggy in the 70s.
A line of storms may approach & pass Tuesday night. It may gust out over the area with a gust front surging well out ahead of it cutting overall severe risk. However, a narrow window of a couple severe gusts may exist in our far northwestern counties.
Wednesday actually looks cooler & less humid with northeast winds & highs in the 80s with decreasing clouds.
It looks more & more like Thursday will be dry & still cooler & less humid.
As the front moves back northward as a warm front Friday-Saturday, the potential of storms will increase once again. It will also turn hotter & more humid with time.
Confidence is not very high for the Sunday-Monday (Labor Day period) forecast. It looks like we may dry out, but be very warm to hot & humid.
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